Thursday, July 2, 2009

Boring Theory Post

Sorry for the lack of updates, I've been playing a lot recently but been too lazy to post for some reason.

Anyways, thanks to the bankroll boost from my $3r win, I've been playing at higher stakes online, in tournaments with buy-ins from $109 to $215. I've taken shots at these tournaments in the past and never been able to do much, but now for the first time I really feel comfortable at those stakes and that I belong.

It's certainly a big adjustment though. For one thing, at these stakes there are a lot of professionals, who obviously are very tough to play against. There are still plenty of bad players, but the bad players tend to be bad because they're overly aggressive. The biggest adjustment to my game has been to not open as much in late position. In lower stakes you can open any two in late position once the antes come in, but I've found you can't get away with that in these tournaments.

I've come up with a theory on why there are so many more wackjobs, its long but bear with me. Let's divide tournament poker players into 3 categories: good players, overly aggressive players, and overly nitty players. For the most part, the good players will eventually rise to the top, build their bankrolls, and move up in stakes. The overly nitty players will lose money over the long term; they might make the money in mtts a decent % of the time, but because they're folding too much they won't be able to accumulate enough chips to get the top 3 finishes you need to be a winning MTT player. So almost all of them will lose money and not make it out of the lower limits.

Now for the overly aggressive players, most of them will lose money because they'll flame out of tournaments early on due to their crazy play. But occasionally, guys like this will suck out a couple times, run up a massive stack, and then steamroll their way to a big cash. The difference between these guys and the nitty players is that the maniacs are at least giving themselves a chance to get lucky, while the nitty players are just folding away any chance. A quick glance at the WSOP Main Event over the last few years will show you plenty of overly aggro guys who didn't know what they were doing making deep runs, but very few weak tight nut-peddlers.

Meh, that whole thing feels rambling, hopefully it made sense. So I've been going up against a lot of these guys, no big cashes yet, hopefully one comes soon. Good luck to everyone playing the main event, especially the people I have a piece of.

Thanks for reading,

George

1 comments:

Ross said...

loretta8 does not ramble, just read and try to absorb a piece of the infinite widsom